Tuesday, June 23, 2009

Scenarios on ConAss Resolution

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Arroyo is Paranoid Android. Threatened by the prospects of post-presidency blues (read: legal cases), Mrs. Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo is on a grand plan to rock Philippine politics by becoming its first female Prime Minister.

I have received this email last week:

---------- Forwarded message ----------

From: Corazon Juliano-Soliman 〈dinky@incitegov.org〉
Date: Wed, Jun 3, 2009 at 6:29 PM
Subject: [changepolitics] express outrage over illegal and arrogant politics of CONASS
To: change politics

Greetings colleagues and comrades!

In the stillness of night the allies of the administration in Congress pierced and stabbed our backs by betraying public trust (the little that we had on them). They passed a resolution to convene a constituent assembly! They will convene it with out the Senate...at least this is one option that they have, to move the process forward.

The irony of it is Speaker Nograles admitted publicly that it was pressure from MalacaƱang that made them do it; he does not have any plan regarding the next steps.

This is brazen disregard of the constitution and of their duty to represent the people's interest and will.The scenarios that have been discussed in a broad meeting this morning are as follows:

Scenario 1: House of Representative (HOR) will set the rules and procedures and proceed to amend the constitution acting now as a Constituent Assembly. After a period of time they bring the amended constitution to COMELEC to request for a plebiscite. A case is brought to the Supreme Court and the Supreme Court decides that a Senate less CONASS is valid.Plebiscite continues, it is a yes victory and the election ofMay 10, 2010 is an election for a parliamentary form of government. GMA runs on a district in Pampanga. She wins and becomes eventually the Prime Minister.This scenario assumes that the outraged and protest from the citizenry is weak.

Scenario 2: HOR convenes as a constituent assembly; a case is filed in the Supreme Court and SC declares that Congress is a bicameral body therefore the Senate is needed. Election fever catches up.A presidential election is held in May 10, 2010.This scenario assumes that there is significant citizen's lobby to stop CONASS and chahcha. The citizen's actions is a major influence in the assessment and judgement of the justices in the Supreme Court.

Scenario 3: HOR convenes as a constituent assembly, there is building outrage from the citizens and more street actions are undertaken. MalacaƱang rides on the anger of the people and organizes violent incidents that will then be the basis for emergency rule. This scenario assumes that citizen's actions are not organized and disciplined which creates the conditions for infiltration and manipulated violence from the enemies of democracy.

Scenario 4: HOR convenes as a constituent assembly; a case is filed in the Supreme Court, the debate and deliberation in the Supreme Court takes a long time and it gets overtaken by election on May 10, 2010. GMA runs for Congress in Pampanga she wins, the administration candidates win too. They get the Supreme Court go ahead and convenes a Constituent Assembly, converts Congress into a parliament and GMA is elected as Prime Minister. This scenario assumes that the 2010 election is dominated by the allies of GMA and her candidates wins. This scenario assumes that transactional politics was the dominant practice and cheating, vote buying and killing will be the norm in the election of 2010. This means the citizen's action was weak and we failed to educate and mobilize active citizenship.

These were some of the scenarios that can happen given the brazeness and arrogance of the allies of Malacanang in Congress.

It is therefore important that we express outrage! Call a press conference, write a letter to the editor, blog or start a spit campaign ---in a public place put a big pail with some sand and put up a sign - spit on the traitors of the constitution if you know that your Congressman supported the CONASS put his name on it....like Speaker Nograles, Ortega, Barsaga, Del Mar -to name a few...
Let us tell each other what we have done regarding this issue.

We have agreed to have a noise barrage every 5:00 p.m. whereever we are to make noise for at least 15 minutes!!!

Padayon sa Paglihuk! Baguhin ang Pulitika tungo sa pulitika ng Pagbabago!

sunflower wishes,


Corazon Juliano-Soliman (dinky)INCITEGov
Unit 1110, 11th Floor, Prestige Tower
F. Ortigas Jr. Road, Ortigas Center
Pasig City, Metro Manila
Telefax No: (632) 634 13 34


bagongpagasa said...

Mukang tagilid na yung marami sa mga senaryo na ito. Si Gibo na ang manok ng admin e.

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